One number per coach. Built from wins-below-expectation, recruiting trajectory, buyout headroom, AD/booster signal, and off-field noise. Higher = warmer seat.
Atop the hot seat list for the second straight year. Went 5-7 after a 3-0 start, missing a bowl for the second consecutive season. The $56M buyout is the only thing keeping the door closed.
1-15 in SEC play over two seasons. Improved Year 1 to Year 2 but went 1-7 in conference. The math is running out.
Talented recruiter who cannot translate the roster to wins. Identical 4-8, 1-8 records in Big Ten play the past two seasons. Eight years is a long time to wait.
Must win over a new AD after the previous one resigned. Defense ranked 105th in points allowed over the past two seasons. Four losing seasons in five years since the 2021 Big 12 title.
Fell from 7-6 to 2-10 in Year 2, outscored 278-166 in ACC play. The offense cratered and the defense couldn't compensate. The Eagles need a reset.
Inconsistency defines his tenure — never stringing together back-to-back strong seasons. Star QB LaNorris Sellers is in his final year, making 2026 a CFP-or-bust situation. The SEC has no patience for regression.
Went 4-8 in 2025 after a 5-7 2024 — has not exceeded seven wins in any season at Wisconsin. Finishing above .500 in 2026 may be the floor for job security.
Age 72 in Year 2. The four-win debut bought no goodwill. Replaced coordinator Freddie Kitchens with Bobby Petrino and added QB Billy Edwards Jr. — but another sub-.500 season triggers serious exit talk.